People passionate about nature

Stationarity on the Run: The New Normal for Manitoba’s Climate

How Will Climate Change Affect Manitoba? (MB Government)


Dr. Danny Blair, Associate Dean of Science, University of Winnipeg


Monday, March 3, 2014

Start Time: 

7:30 pm


Franco-Manitoban Cultural Centre, 340 Provencher Blvd on second floor - Salle Antoine-Gaborieau.


$2 for members and $3 for non-members.

The concept of ‘normal’ in climatology defines the range of conditions expected in the near future, based upon the recent past, with the assumption that the recent past is a reasonable approximation of the near future. Thanks to climate change, this assumption of ‘stationarity’ in the climate is no longer valid. One of the most important consequences of non-stationarity in the climate system is that the probability of extreme events will change. Dr. Blair will discuss the evidence for non-stationarity in Manitoba’s rapidly changing climate, and will review the implications of continuing change in the coming decades on the nature and impacts of extreme weather.